carrack-porcelain
0x77915467b11733c502a8818c630128261b27e98e
- Realised P&L
- $6.67
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $229.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.12at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
- +$1.86at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
- +$1.27at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
- +$1.03at 0.666Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
- +$0.89at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:24 | Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.52 | $13.00 |
| 09-16 18:22 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.72 | $12.44 |
| 09-16 18:20 | Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-16 18:19 | Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | SELL | 0.895 | $9.34 |
| 09-16 03:48 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 03:43 | Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 13:04 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 13:02 | Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.8729999997 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 00:13 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.18 |
| 09-10 14:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8019801853 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 14:36 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.92 |
| 09-10 14:36 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.13 |
| 09-10 03:09 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | SELL | 0.62 | $5.41 |
| 09-09 03:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 03:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |