PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

UnderwriterGCR

0x771d7c5ac82ca8776738e2560f6a6e50d34b440e

Realised P&L
$17.5k
Volume
$1.18M
Markets traded
418
Open portfolio
$21.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded418
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9350.998$10.2k+$640.78
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8210.955$5.3k+$737.51
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9160.966$3.6k+$188.13
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? · No0.9910.991$2.3k−$0.59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.7200.945$152.91+$36.41
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? · No0.9100.912$36.50+$0.10
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4120.000$0.00−$103.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 22:17Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.95$950.00
10-08 22:16Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?BUY0.991$1.7k
09-06 14:46Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?SELL0.986$2.6k
09-06 14:46Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?SELL0.987$6.2k
09-04 22:57Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.983$568.17
09-04 22:56Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.973$54.49
08-31 20:46Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.961$1.9k
08-31 20:46Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.97$758.34
08-31 20:45Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.963$566.70
08-31 20:45Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$470.00
08-31 20:45Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.955$3.2k
08-31 20:44Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.93265908$466.33
08-31 20:44Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.9880111$988.01
08-31 20:43Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.88$880.00
08-30 17:42Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$940.00