JPessoa2026
0x770a2c164df10a2cdb9281b14023ee1a34837d17
- Realised P&L
- $-228.70
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $205.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$232.60at 0.139Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$93.62at 0.470US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$68.92at 0.398Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$49.35at 0.400US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$41.28at 0.198Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 01:11 | Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | BUY | 0.0865808362 | $70.00 |
| 06-05 00:39 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.4435553562 | $40.00 |
| 06-05 00:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 05-29 00:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1965601966 | $40.00 |
| 05-28 23:59 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.4380801441 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 19:42 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.5461219875 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 19:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 04-17 18:01 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? | BUY | 0.3341875007 | $70.00 |
| 04-17 17:56 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | SELL | 0.55 | $126.91 |
| 04-17 17:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | SELL | 0.6121379243 | $312.01 |
| 04-13 21:13 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999969 | $61.84 |
| 04-09 22:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.16 | $74.62 |
| 04-09 19:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999986 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 19:43 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June? | SELL | 0.4474039012 | $101.61 |
| 04-09 19:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3207989813 | $128.48 |