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Traders

JPessoa2026

0x770a2c164df10a2cdb9281b14023ee1a34837d17

Realised P&L
$-228.70
Volume
$16.6k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$205.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2270.055$58.02−$181.98
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.4400.134$42.67−$97.33
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · Yes0.0860.042$33.96−$36.04
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.032$31.50−$68.50
US x China Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1100.026$19.76−$63.85
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.045$10.31−$51.53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.6000.175$5.83−$14.17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1040.018$3.37−$16.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Up0.5180.000$0.00−$10.00
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$20.00
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00−$100.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00−$80.00
Ethereum flipped in 2026? · No0.4770.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.4730.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes0.5460.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 01:11Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?BUY0.0865808362$70.00
06-05 00:39Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?BUY0.4435553562$40.00
06-05 00:38Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$100.00
05-29 00:00Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1965601966$40.00
05-28 23:59Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?BUY0.4380801441$100.00
05-18 19:42Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.5461219875$100.00
05-18 19:39Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999986$100.00
04-17 18:01Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?BUY0.3341875007$70.00
04-17 17:56Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?SELL0.55$126.91
04-17 17:55Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?SELL0.6121379243$312.01
04-13 21:13Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999969$61.84
04-09 22:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.16$74.62
04-09 19:47Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999986$100.00
04-09 19:43Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?SELL0.4474039012$101.61
04-09 19:39Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3207989813$128.48
Trader JPessoa2026 · PolyBot Pro