0x76f27b9211d07ecCB38db86Ec621Fc2b0740245D-1767861283241
0x76f27b9211d07eccb38db86ec621fc2b0740245d
- Realised P&L
- $-17.42
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $4.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.76at 0.210US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.350US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
- +$1.82at 0.171Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.70at 0.370US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
- +$1.52at 0.560Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 14:07 | Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 14:07 | Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 13:58 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3159999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 13:57 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 20:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.24 |
| 07-27 19:21 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | SELL | 0.963 | $1.47 |
| 07-23 11:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 13:45 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:27 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.395 | $0.93 |
| 07-19 19:06 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4224999176 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 22:26 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 16:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.859999656 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 16:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 11:56 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |