PolyBot

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Traders

PermanentUnderclassEscapee

0x76c94d974b850eb11e3d5220f3fe77c785a6ab2e

Realised P&L
$-6.8k
Volume
$126.1k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$12.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9300.995$4.0k+$258.00
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9180.958$3.4k+$138.28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8470.962$2.9k+$344.84
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5950.455$1.7k$516.75
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.971$970.50+$50.50
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$61.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1200.000$0.00$96.00
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.1410.000$0.00$141.00
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$225.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No0.9500.000$0.00$950.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$324.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 23:11Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.93$3.7k
06-02 23:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.927$166.78
06-02 23:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.927$345.97
06-02 23:02Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?BUY0.972$972.00
06-02 23:02Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.83$579.36
05-22 01:26Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY0.95783393$957.83
05-22 01:22Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?BUY0.94$486.08
05-22 01:20Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?BUY0.94$1.9k
04-04 17:28Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?BUY0.91$910.00
03-31 04:59Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?BUY0.985$1.3k
03-24 16:22U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?BUY0.96$960.00
03-24 16:19Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?BUY0.995$995.00
03-24 16:14Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.993$993.00
03-24 04:21Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.983$983.00
03-23 16:14Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.989$2.0k