lainy
0x769c3822e349c8ebd6a69ee7ecf4974cf543292c
- Realised P&L
- $-9.49
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $154.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.91at 0.770US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$4.92at 0.880Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.04at 0.955Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$1.21at 0.994Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?
- +$0.98at 0.930US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 16:42 | US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? | BUY | 0.9879996666 | $2.43 |
| 09-30 16:41 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? | BUY | 0.819999795 | $1.12 |
| 09-30 16:40 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | BUY | 0.9069999798 | $3.81 |
| 09-30 16:39 | America.gov removed by October 31? | BUY | 0.9779999948 | $3.74 |
| 09-30 16:38 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $11.94 |
| 09-30 16:37 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.23 |
| 09-29 19:38 | Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $90.11 |
| 09-29 19:36 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999225 | $8.00 |
| 09-29 19:36 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $11.00 |
| 09-29 19:33 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9679999799 | $11.94 |
| 09-29 19:32 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $22.00 |
| 09-29 19:30 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999964 | $19.60 |
| 09-27 15:36 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999473 | $12.10 |
| 09-27 15:34 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $57.72 |
| 09-27 15:34 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.972 | $9.89 |