PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x7691971eE98d5F6b5418F6950E25748A10Ac3308-1764691727542

0x7691971ee98d5f6b5418f6950e25748a10ac3308

Realised P&L
$-527.05
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$139.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3980.460$115.47+$15.47
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0900.163$18.05+$8.05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2500.095$5.70$9.30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$40.00
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? · No0.0510.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 15? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$30.00
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$10.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.7100.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 15? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$20.00
Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.0370.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-20 20:45Trump kiss by May 31?BUY0.001$1.00
05-20 20:45Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.25$15.00
04-13 07:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.4$10.00
04-13 07:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.137380149$10.00
04-12 17:57Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.5299999899$9.32
04-09 12:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.7099998694$5.00
04-09 12:03Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.024$5.00
04-09 12:00Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.0900306374$10.00
04-08 09:38Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?BUY0.15$15.00
04-08 09:38Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.3979434101$100.00
04-08 09:33Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?SELL0.03$2.81
04-07 15:22Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?BUY0.32$30.00
04-07 14:45Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.003960396$1.00
04-07 14:45Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.005$1.00
04-07 14:45Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.0055146046$1.00
Trader 0x7691971eE98d5F6b5418F6950E25748A10Ac3308-1764691727542 · PolyBot