0x7691971eE98d5F6b5418F6950E25748A10Ac3308-1764691727542
0x7691971ee98d5f6b5418f6950e25748a10ac3308
- Realised P&L
- $-527.05
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $139.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.41at 0.167Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?
- +$97.93at 0.290US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$26.34at 0.432Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$15.40at 0.930Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$14.42at 0.581Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 20:45 | Trump kiss by May 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 20:45 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 04-13 07:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 04-13 07:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.137380149 | $10.00 |
| 04-12 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $9.32 |
| 04-09 12:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998694 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 12:03 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.024 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 12:00 | Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.0900306374 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 09:38 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 04-08 09:38 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3979434101 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 09:33 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.81 |
| 04-07 15:22 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | BUY | 0.32 | $30.00 |
| 04-07 14:45 | Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.003960396 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 14:45 | Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 14:45 | Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0055146046 | $1.00 |