PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

25usdc

0x75e765216a57942d738d880ffcda854d9f869080

Realised P&L
$114.7k
Volume
$15.48M
Markets traded
2,534
Open portfolio
$20.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,534
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0560.954$9.5k+$9.0k
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31? · No0.7801.000$2.0k+$440.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · No0.7701.000$2.0k+$460.00
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? · No0.9301.000$2.0k+$140.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6000.935$1.9k+$670.00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · No0.1601.000$1.0k+$840.00
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.6901.000$999.99+$310.00
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? · No0.9051.000$600.01+$56.78
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0700.042$124.50$85.50
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1700.020$60.00$450.00
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.1500.044$10.36$24.96
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · No0.2600.000$0.00$1.3k
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million? · No0.0800.000$0.00$803.00
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00$103.94
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · No0.3160.000$0.00$3.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-10 01:13Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.4946102$494.61
02-07 04:04Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.38$103.70
02-05 23:52Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?BUY0.14$6.97
02-05 23:01Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?SELL0.8$2.90
02-05 23:01Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?SELL0.11$2.75
02-05 23:00Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.51$0.06
02-02 18:57Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?BUY0.1151344191$112.12
01-28 10:51Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?SELL0.993$4.0k
01-18 02:03Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?BUY0.58$580.00
01-15 02:23Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?BUY0.5929991416$276.34
01-15 00:53Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?BUY0.56$19.17
01-14 23:16US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?BUY0.5092251186$328.58
01-14 22:39US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.43$430.00
01-14 22:39US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?BUY0.30574735$611.49
01-14 22:35Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?SELL0.3218010746$965.46