25usdc
0x75e765216a57942d738d880ffcda854d9f869080
- Realised P&L
- $114.7k
- Volume
- $15.48M
- Markets traded
- 2,534
- Open portfolio
- $20.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,534
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.317Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
- +$4.1kat 0.460Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$4.1kat 0.499Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$4.0kat 0.995Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
- +$3.8kat 0.766Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-10 01:13 | Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4946102 | $494.61 |
| 02-07 04:04 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.38 | $103.70 |
| 02-05 23:52 | Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $6.97 |
| 02-05 23:01 | Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.90 |
| 02-05 23:01 | Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.75 |
| 02-05 23:00 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.06 |
| 02-02 18:57 | Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6? | BUY | 0.1151344191 | $112.12 |
| 01-28 10:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $4.0k |
| 01-18 02:03 | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.58 | $580.00 |
| 01-15 02:23 | Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday? | BUY | 0.5929991416 | $276.34 |
| 01-15 00:53 | Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday? | BUY | 0.56 | $19.17 |
| 01-14 23:16 | US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5092251186 | $328.58 |
| 01-14 22:39 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $430.00 |
| 01-14 22:39 | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.30574735 | $611.49 |
| 01-14 22:35 | Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31? | SELL | 0.3218010746 | $965.46 |