fellu
0x74e2af53337f1abffc38f6ce72b8883e868e4bb3
- Realised P&L
- $-18.54
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $65.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.90at 0.311Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
- +$150.53at 0.272Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$128.52at 0.163Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$82.34at 0.017Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
- +$77.39at 0.301Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 17:38 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $31.20 |
| 10-04 08:10 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 10-04 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3209076157 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3038113621 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 02:12 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $37.50 |
| 10-03 17:05 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.0124389029 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.118 | $4.15 |
| 06-02 14:25 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.41 |
| 06-02 00:19 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1805623839 | $6.00 |
| 06-02 00:18 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.2839999846 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 00:18 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 00:18 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1121548731 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 00:08 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $50.40 |
| 06-02 00:05 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.16 |