PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fellu

0x74e2af53337f1abffc38f6ce72b8883e868e4bb3

Realised P&L
$-18.54
Volume
$24.8k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$65.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 5? · Yes0.3040.390$38.51+$8.51
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 5? · Yes0.3210.240$22.44−$7.56
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.0560.445$4.45+$3.89
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.0560.003$0.03−$0.53
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.0560.001$0.01−$0.55
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.0560.001$0.01−$0.55
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.0560.001$0.01−$0.55
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.0560.001$0.01−$0.55
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.0560.001$0.01−$0.55
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.72
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.72
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$8.94
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.72
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 4? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 17:38Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?SELL0.52$31.20
10-04 08:10Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.15$7.50
10-04 06:06Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 5?BUY0.3209076157$30.00
10-04 06:06Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 5?BUY0.3038113621$30.00
10-04 02:12Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?SELL0.3$37.50
10-03 17:05Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.16$20.00
10-03 16:48Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 4?BUY0.0124389029$1.00
06-02 14:26Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?SELL0.118$4.15
06-02 14:25Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?SELL0.011$0.41
06-02 00:19Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.1805623839$6.00
06-02 00:18Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.2839999846$10.00
06-02 00:18Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
06-02 00:18Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.1121548731$10.00
06-02 00:08Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?SELL0.48$50.40
06-02 00:05Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?SELL0.001$0.16