mentionu
0x74d82531152d9ca8690d824d8552cc68422c5a80
- Realised P&L
- $114.08
- Volume
- $45.5k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $940.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$338.40at 0.436Will Ethereum reach $4800 September 8–14?
- +$132.00at 0.560Tigers vs. Rays
- +$16.45at 0.939Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
- +$12.42at 0.951Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.00at 0.665Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 06:53 | Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $240.31 |
| 10-09 04:01 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 10-09 03:51 | Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.961 | $96.10 |
| 10-09 03:38 | Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $88.02 |
| 10-09 03:37 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 10-09 03:37 | Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $24.00 |
| 09-29 03:02 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $106.79 |
| 09-29 03:01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.96 |
| 09-29 03:00 | Will BNB reach $1,000 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.73 |
| 09-29 02:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | BUY | 0.988 | $98.80 |
| 09-29 02:54 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.982 | $117.84 |
| 09-09 13:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.987 | $49.35 |
| 09-09 13:18 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 08-27 09:41 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.967 | $66.72 |
| 08-27 09:40 | Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.9949 | $49.74 |