PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7494B8B78CdF56250e2Af49f1F8Ad33BEc40E2a3-1767299892680

0x7494b8b78cdf56250e2af49f1f8ad33bec40e2a3

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$90.3k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$715.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.3080.245$508.86$130.37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.6800.825$121.33+$21.33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1020.065$24.20$13.60
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2190.161$22.76$8.25
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.4750.050$10.52$89.48
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1700.145$8.53$1.47
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2860.204$7.13$2.87
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · Yes0.1200.034$2.55$6.45
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2000.155$2.33$0.68
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.4000.075$1.87$8.13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1010.065$1.29$0.71
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0700.007$1.07$8.93
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1700.029$0.84$4.16
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0250.018$0.72$0.28
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1440.041$0.57$1.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 16:58Iran full airspace closure by December 31?SELL0.16$406.16
08-23 16:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.6799999935$100.00
08-17 15:02US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.126017111$75.00
08-16 14:13Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?BUY0.085923425$75.00
08-16 10:06Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?BUY0.1399999976$50.00
08-16 09:48Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?BUY0.1324424998$74.00
08-15 18:42Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2081447893$20.00
08-15 18:41Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.149999993$16.00
08-15 18:33Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?BUY0.1484670774$20.00
08-14 15:57Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?BUY0.4796573876$70.00
08-14 15:56Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?BUY0.4799999983$100.00
08-14 15:28Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.233$14.86
08-14 15:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.75$54.88
08-14 15:28Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$176.80
08-05 08:15Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.2944203805$500.00