0x7494B8B78CdF56250e2Af49f1F8Ad33BEc40E2a3-1767299892680
0x7494b8b78cdf56250e2af49f1f8ad33bec40e2a3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $90.3k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $715.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$184.27at 0.480Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?
- +$177.05at 0.576Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$126.97at 0.321Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
- +$71.40at 0.219Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?
- +$62.32at 0.183Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 16:58 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $406.16 |
| 08-23 16:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.6799999935 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 15:02 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.126017111 | $75.00 |
| 08-16 14:13 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.085923425 | $75.00 |
| 08-16 10:06 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 08-16 09:48 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.1324424998 | $74.00 |
| 08-15 18:42 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2081447893 | $20.00 |
| 08-15 18:41 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999993 | $16.00 |
| 08-15 18:33 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.1484670774 | $20.00 |
| 08-14 15:57 | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4796573876 | $70.00 |
| 08-14 15:56 | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999983 | $100.00 |
| 08-14 15:28 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.233 | $14.86 |
| 08-14 15:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $54.88 |
| 08-14 15:28 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $176.80 |
| 08-05 08:15 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.2944203805 | $500.00 |