PolyBot

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Traders

0x739539FaB568e9e0f0B62665b0Fbf0f325ED8752-1769339801393

0x739539fab568e9e0f0b62665b0fbf0f325ed8752

Realised P&L
$-148.21
Volume
$32.1k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$35.06

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0930.028$11.00$26.20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0950.046$10.12$10.78
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2400.065$6.50$17.50
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes0.0800.025$5.10$10.90
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1650.018$2.34$19.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 09:54Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.093$37.20
04-07 22:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.3199833333$19.20
04-01 21:46Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.09$10.80
04-01 08:39Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.24$24.00
03-27 17:11Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.101$10.10
03-23 15:36US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.14$21.00
03-11 11:59Trump out as President by March 31?BUY0.012$1.04
03-08 12:48Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.0467403058$7.24
03-08 08:38Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?BUY0.2$20.00
02-02 12:50Trump out as President by March 31?BUY0.032$50.00
01-30 08:09US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.3799999985$150.00
01-29 11:08Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?BUY0.002$10.00
01-29 10:37Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?BUY0.002$20.00
01-29 10:09Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?BUY0.002$10.00
01-29 10:02US government shutdown Saturday?SELL0.58$290.00