PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x736e2fa5160cc46528288f6f5B7729B0CD31a144-1775488411524

0x736e2fa5160cc46528288f6f5b7729b0cd31a144

Realised P&L
$-798.18
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
359
Open portfolio
$143.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded359
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.5700.935$24.61+$9.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2700.835$15.46+$10.46
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.5000.767$15.35+$5.35
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.5600.510$13.65$1.35
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3090.651$10.53+$5.53
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4870.502$10.32+$0.32
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1500.095$9.50$5.50
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.4800.765$7.97+$2.97
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? · Yes0.1810.090$5.97$6.03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.4100.160$5.84$9.16
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes0.2770.155$5.59$4.41
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.3620.130$3.59$6.41
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1800.041$3.42$11.58
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2100.065$3.10$6.90
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2110.170$2.42$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 09:54Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4869999964$10.00
08-31 17:40Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-08-31?BUY0.4399999894$10.00
08-31 17:31Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-08-31?BUY0.2599999688$6.00
08-31 10:48Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?SELL0.0118743546$0.14
08-25 17:41Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.4299999871$5.00
08-24 07:45Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.12$2.24
08-14 14:00Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.5749594941$6.00
08-14 13:58Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?SELL0.97$25.23
08-10 15:29Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?BUY0.4989999207$3.00
08-10 10:16Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?BUY0.3$6.00
08-05 14:33Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
08-05 11:33Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.4399999894$10.00
08-05 11:32Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
08-04 16:16Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?SELL0.07$2.12
08-04 08:25Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?BUY0.3301291218$10.00