0x736e2fa5160cc46528288f6f5B7729B0CD31a144-1775488411524
0x736e2fa5160cc46528288f6f5b7729b0cd31a144
- Realised P&L
- $-798.18
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 359
- Open portfolio
- $143.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded359
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.16at 0.051Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?
- +$82.79at 0.457Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
- +$53.68at 0.322Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$46.44at 0.209Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
- +$46.21at 0.565English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 09:54 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4869999964 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 17:40 | Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 17:31 | Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.2599999688 | $6.00 |
| 08-31 10:48 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31? | SELL | 0.0118743546 | $0.14 |
| 08-25 17:41 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 07:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.24 |
| 08-14 14:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.5749594941 | $6.00 |
| 08-14 13:58 | Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? | SELL | 0.97 | $25.23 |
| 08-10 15:29 | Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? | BUY | 0.4989999207 | $3.00 |
| 08-10 10:16 | Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 11:33 | Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 11:32 | Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 16:16 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.12 |
| 08-04 08:25 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3301291218 | $10.00 |