sfdf78
0x736c2570ee2468a02ab91bbcf1f471b2a7ada3c9
- Realised P&L
- $-20.08
- Volume
- $100.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $477.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.920 | $300.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.115 | $52.27 | +$2.27 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $48.08 | −$1.92 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.095 | $36.54 | −$13.46 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.056 | $22.44 | −$27.56 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.059 | $18.09 | −$1.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.42at 0.394Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$48.51at 0.480Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?
- +$-28.91at 0.403Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$-28.91at 0.133Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?
- +$-74.19at 0.003Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:19 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0657948992 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 15:17 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.9373597903 | $100.15 |
| 10-10 08:23 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.0288013836 | $7.91 |
| 10-10 03:06 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999998 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 11:45 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 11:45 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 11:45 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 11:45 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.1236411363 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 11:42 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2048450735 | $30.00 |
| 10-09 11:42 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.4679582702 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 11:40 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.126 | $12.87 |
| 10-09 05:24 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3821899484 | $40.00 |
| 10-09 02:13 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.391461738 | $40.00 |
| 10-09 02:05 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $300.00 |
| 10-07 08:38 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.0018094911 | $87.52 |