PolyBot

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Traders

gambler13

0x73192b9597c4496f8c338b36239bdf4218ac0299

Realised P&L
$-16.89
Volume
$2.62M
Markets traded
356
Open portfolio
$13.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded356
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1770.145$4.1k$896.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0690.055$2.9k$724.90
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4950.475$2.6k$113.66
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.2870.235$1.9k$426.90
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2770.045$1.1k$5.6k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$883.60$51.98
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0300.015$144.98$154.98
Trump meets with Putin by September 30? · Yes0.0270.009$19.49$42.06
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.0170.015$16.15$1.42
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · Yes0.1900.065$14.63$28.12
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0100.004$9.40$10.72
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? · Yes0.0070.003$6.73$12.92
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? · Yes0.0330.011$3.65$7.65
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? · Yes0.0210.009$1.17$1.72
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$1.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:47Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?SELL0.06$2.15
09-16 17:45Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?SELL0.263643999$366.95
09-15 09:54Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.2963835033$579.38
09-14 17:30Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.3030432561$432.89
09-14 16:23Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.2795698925$260.00
09-13 06:47Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?SELL0.28$14.00
09-13 06:46Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.28$168.84
09-12 20:55Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.27$86.40
09-12 20:33Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?SELL0.1185155584$708.08
09-12 20:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.09$53.60
09-11 00:13Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?SELL0.72$895.49
09-10 18:16Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.13$20.02
09-09 18:53Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.06$0.72
09-09 18:52Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.06$13.02
09-09 18:43Trump meets with Putin by September 30?BUY0.0257221538$7.31