0x731128B4b5C35b69BBF80Ca2D9F5FB8EaA719E60-1772332954064
0x731128b4b5c35b69bbf80ca2d9f5fb8eaa719e60
- Realised P&L
- $-27.54
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $43.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.95at 0.470Knicks vs. Hawks
- +$7.00at 0.300Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
- +$6.00at 0.400Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
- +$6.00at 0.400Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
- +$5.50at 0.450Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:16 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.083 | $1.28 |
| 10-01 08:14 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.808 | $4.04 |
| 10-01 08:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.65 | $4.64 |
| 09-30 12:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.699999916 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 12:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-30 10:37 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | BUY | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 09-30 10:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-30 05:47 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.445 | $1.66 |
| 09-30 02:22 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.76 |
| 09-29 00:26 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-28 02:26 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-27 22:52 | Spread: Vikings (-3.5) | SELL | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-27 21:46 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants | SELL | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-27 20:54 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-27 20:21 | Spread: Vikings (-3.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |