PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x731128B4b5C35b69BBF80Ca2D9F5FB8EaA719E60-1772332954064

0x731128b4b5c35b69bbf80ca2d9f5fb8eaa719e60

Realised P&L
$-27.54
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$43.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? · Yes0.6300.580$23.20−$2.00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5000.645$6.45+$1.45
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5700.615$6.15+$0.45
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? · No0.8080.789$3.94−$0.10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1700.185$1.85+$0.15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · Yes0.0830.074$1.15−$0.13
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0000.042$1.04+$1.04
Spread: Clippers (-3.5) · Raptors0.4800.000$0.00−$2.40
Spread: Packers (-5.5) · Packers0.4800.000$0.00−$5.76
Thunder vs. Celtics · Thunder0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Spread: Eagles (-1.5) · Eagles0.4900.000$0.00−$4.90
Spread: Bucks (-2.5) · Bucks0.4800.000$0.00−$4.79
Spread: Giants (-2.5) · Cowboys0.4000.000$0.00−$5.20
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) · 76ers0.4000.000$0.00−$4.00
Spread: Lakers (-2.5) · Cavaliers0.3500.000$0.00−$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:16Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?BUY0.083$1.28
10-01 08:14Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?BUY0.808$4.04
10-01 08:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.65$4.64
09-30 12:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.699999916$5.00
09-30 12:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.35$3.50
09-30 10:37Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?BUY0.63$25.20
09-30 10:37Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.42$4.20
09-30 05:47Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?SELL0.445$1.66
09-30 02:22Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?SELL0.44$2.76
09-29 00:26Eagles vs. BearsBUY0.5$2.50
09-28 02:26Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.89$17.80
09-27 22:52Spread: Vikings (-3.5)SELL0.67$3.35
09-27 21:46Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco GiantsSELL0.91$4.55
09-27 20:54Ravens vs. CowboysBUY0.46$2.30
09-27 20:21Spread: Vikings (-3.5)BUY0.43$2.15