PolyBot

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Traders

ThomasLiu

0x729d090275e4c0a2a0f2ea4f8f3bd71edb669963

Realised P&L
$1.23
Volume
$8.8k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$158.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9850.997$104.63+$1.21
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No0.9980.996$31.94$0.06
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9911.000$11.09+$0.09
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.9990.999$10.99$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 13:04Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.998$32.00
09-22 13:03Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.999$11.00
08-21 14:11Will Solana dip to $10 in August?BUY0.999$17.00
07-31 14:34Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$10.00
07-31 14:34Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$16.00
07-31 14:34Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9989999422$17.00
06-15 14:22Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.996$44.90
06-15 14:21Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?BUY0.9959999392$16.00
06-15 14:21Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?BUY0.997$13.00
05-24 14:32Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.992$40.00
05-24 14:32Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.997$20.00
05-24 14:32Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?BUY0.999$13.00
04-16 14:33Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.997$71.13
04-16 14:33Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.9989999724$35.00
04-16 14:32Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?BUY0.9989999534$21.00