PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ben09mig

0x72971ba517234b47bbebcce2b3d33a18f05ed14a

Realised P&L
$150.13
Volume
$20.7k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$55.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No0.8700.820$18.04$1.10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9500.942$14.87$0.13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.9400.921$14.70$0.30
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government? · No0.8900.992$7.44+$0.76
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Up0.2480.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET · Up0.2540.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET · Up0.2680.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.3090.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00$3.00
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.3920.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$3.69
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET · Up0.5080.000$0.00$4.00
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$81.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 03:40Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.82$7.38
07-04 03:39Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.9499999747$15.00
07-04 03:39Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?BUY0.9399999987$15.00
07-04 03:38Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?SELL0.011$1.35
07-04 02:00Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?BUY0.0873248833$1.31
07-04 00:47Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?BUY0.05$0.83
05-06 06:33UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?SELL0.67$16.75
05-06 05:48Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.58$8.91
05-06 04:55Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?SELL0.55$27.51
05-06 03:45Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?SELL0.6$14.99
05-05 13:16Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?SELL0.7$21.88
05-05 12:32Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.913$20.09
03-08 22:49US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.53$135.26
03-08 22:28Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.997$598.56
03-08 13:09Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.7083107817$118.51