PolyBot

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Traders

raidmafir

0x728fc7e71903393f26d140161f2f23a7d318b09e

Realised P&L
$-34.93
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$14.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1200.150$3.21+$0.64
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$3.06$1.94
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1900.305$1.60+$0.60
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? · Yes0.0700.095$1.53+$0.40
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? · Yes0.0610.107$0.94+$0.40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.075$0.94$0.06
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.130$0.93$0.07
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.1200.085$0.71$0.29
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? · Yes0.0850.050$0.59$0.41
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? · Yes0.1400.075$0.54$0.46
Will Gladson Camelí win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? · Yes0.1200.055$0.46$0.54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0800.018$0.23$0.77
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$1.00
Will Viking FK vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.01
Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 15:14Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.22$3.44
09-03 14:20Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.072$0.72
09-03 12:10Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 3?SELL0.03$0.43
09-03 11:02Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?SELL0.08$0.67
09-02 22:14Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?SELL0.13$1.63
09-02 14:57Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?SELL0.02$0.19
09-02 05:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 2?BUY0.023595$0.47
09-01 22:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2?SELL0.12$0.67
09-01 12:10US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.07$0.70
08-31 03:26Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.048$0.67
08-30 22:14US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?SELL0.03$0.62
08-30 20:32Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?SELL0.36$0.72
08-30 20:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?BUY0.44$0.88
08-30 17:05Will Viking FK vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw?BUY0.001$0.01
08-30 16:25Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?SELL0.0670077519$0.52