raidmafir
0x728fc7e71903393f26d140161f2f23a7d318b09e
- Realised P&L
- $-34.93
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $14.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.27at 0.550Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of June?
- +$4.55at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 1?
- +$1.27at 0.250Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
- +$0.45at 0.090Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?
- +$-0.21at 0.452Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 15:14 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.44 |
| 09-03 14:20 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.072 | $0.72 |
| 09-03 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 3? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.43 |
| 09-03 11:02 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.67 |
| 09-02 22:14 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.63 |
| 09-02 14:57 | Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.19 |
| 09-02 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.023595 | $0.47 |
| 09-01 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.67 |
| 09-01 12:10 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 08-31 03:26 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.67 |
| 08-30 22:14 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.62 |
| 08-30 20:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.72 |
| 08-30 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $0.88 |
| 08-30 17:05 | Will Viking FK vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-30 16:25 | Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.0670077519 | $0.52 |