0x727218c597bdc1b10bb9d86b7007afb9b8246224
0x727218c597bdc1b10bb9d86b7007afb9b8246224
- Realised P&L
- $-1.33
- Volume
- $106.51
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $7.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.640 | 0.984 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.963 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.595 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.850 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.710 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.640 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.078 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.065 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.065 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.75at 0.369WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:24 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:24 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:23 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:52 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:41 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 09:36 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:57 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 15:16 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 01:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:51 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:09 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:08 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 20:57 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:40 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 21:09 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |