bizdev
0x718131f766951bcdcffa3467397ae1a5083da168
- Realised P&L
- $0.31
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $28.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.94at 0.488Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (March 22)
- +$15.90at 0.306Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (March 29)
- +$13.29at 0.790Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$12.86at 0.280Will Trump say "Regime Change" this week? (March 29)
- +$12.47at 0.260Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 09:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 09:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9769999025 | $9.00 |
| 10-07 09:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 16:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 08:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 08:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.9789999986 | $9.00 |
| 10-03 20:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.00 |
| 10-03 19:32 | Dota 2: Daxak Team vs Cake Team (BO5) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 11:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9309999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 11:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 09:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 09:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.9489999818 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 10:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.965 | $7.50 |
| 09-27 10:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.7899999749 | $5.97 |