PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bizdev

0x718131f766951bcdcffa3467397ae1a5083da168

Realised P&L
$0.31
Volume
$8.0k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$28.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5700.625$6.58+$0.58
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.988$6.16+$0.16
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 8? · No0.9710.994$5.12+$0.12
Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album? · Yes0.2100.545$2.60+$1.60
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 8? · No0.8800.986$2.24+$0.24
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6100.440$1.39−$0.54
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.0000.046$0.72+$0.72
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.230$0.70−$0.34
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.3200.180$0.56−$0.44
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No0.4000.205$0.51−$0.49
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0260.013$0.48−$0.52
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · No0.5600.265$0.47−$0.53
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · No0.2900.100$0.34−$0.66
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1600.041$0.26−$0.74
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1090.018$0.17−$0.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 09:12Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 8?BUY0.9709999981$5.00
10-08 09:11Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 8?BUY0.88$2.00
10-07 09:50Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 7?BUY0.9769999025$9.00
10-07 09:50Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 7?BUY0.9199995952$2.00
10-05 16:43Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 5?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
10-04 08:49Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 4?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-04 08:49Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 4?BUY0.9789999986$9.00
10-03 20:24Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 3?BUY0.998$11.00
10-03 19:32Dota 2: Daxak Team vs Cake Team (BO5) - BetBoom Streamers Battle PlayoffsBUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-02 11:30Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 2?BUY0.9309999972$5.00
10-02 11:30Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 2?BUY0.7799999813$5.00
09-29 09:12Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 29?BUY0.75$2.00
09-29 09:12Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 29?BUY0.9489999818$5.00
09-28 10:21Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 28?BUY0.965$7.50
09-27 10:02Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 27?BUY0.7899999749$5.97