Vespuccii
0x712ff6df3887ef407655e2f7711bc1d03e859fe6
- Realised P&L
- $-931.93
- Volume
- $710.3k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $164.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.540Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend?
- +$2.5kat 0.705Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?
- +$2.5kat 0.290Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
- +$2.5kat 0.761Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.4kat 0.481Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:29 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.8 | $804.26 |
| 08-02 15:47 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 162m and 167m? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 15:35 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m? | BUY | 0.981 | $121.16 |
| 08-02 15:35 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m? | BUY | 0.9837452909 | $760.94 |
| 08-02 15:12 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | SELL | 0.91 | $275.12 |
| 08-02 15:09 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.7k |
| 08-02 15:08 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | SELL | 0.9105143447 | $497.95 |
| 08-02 15:01 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.7492255793 | $408.66 |
| 08-02 14:07 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m? | BUY | 0.9435633111 | $540.18 |
| 08-02 13:10 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.7488299147 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 23:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.22 | $440.00 |
| 08-01 23:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.25 | $250.00 |
| 08-01 14:58 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | SELL | 0.76 | $4.0k |
| 07-31 09:13 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $159.23 |
| 07-30 19:28 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.5k |