PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Vespuccii

0x712ff6df3887ef407655e2f7711bc1d03e859fe6

Realised P&L
$-931.93
Volume
$710.3k
Markets traded
195
Open portfolio
$164.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded195
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$87.2k+$32.2k
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9200.982$31.4k+$2.0k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$22.8k$32.2k
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? · Yes0.9921.000$9.3k+$67.47
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? · No0.9800.993$2.8k+$36.04
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 162m and 167m? · No0.9800.984$1.8k+$6.42
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m? · Yes0.8690.997$1.6k+$209.37
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m? · Yes0.9680.990$1.5k+$32.54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4300.435$1.3k+$14.86
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · Yes0.7730.775$1.2k+$2.46
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · Yes0.2500.309$646.99+$124.38
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · No0.2250.105$630.00$719.97
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · No0.1200.120$600.00+$0.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1500.140$560.00$40.00
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · Yes0.7490.836$441.15+$45.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:29Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.8$804.26
08-02 15:47Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 162m and 167m?BUY0.98$1.8k
08-02 15:35Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m?BUY0.981$121.16
08-02 15:35Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m?BUY0.9837452909$760.94
08-02 15:12Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?SELL0.91$275.12
08-02 15:09Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?BUY0.98$2.7k
08-02 15:08Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?SELL0.9105143447$497.95
08-02 15:01Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.7492255793$408.66
08-02 14:07Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m?BUY0.9435633111$540.18
08-02 13:10Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?BUY0.7488299147$1.1k
08-01 23:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.22$440.00
08-01 23:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.25$250.00
08-01 14:58Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?SELL0.76$4.0k
07-31 09:13Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.13$159.23
07-30 19:28Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.29$1.5k