Vespuccii
0x712ff6df3887ef407655e2f7711bc1d03e859fe6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $1.95M
- Markets traded
- 273
- Open portfolio
- $89.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded273
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.5kat 0.671Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$6.0kat 0.570Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$5.8kat 0.274Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
- +$4.3kat 0.656Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$4.1kat 0.795Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:59 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 15:46 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.109 | $2.2k |
| 10-31 13:05 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.2k |
| 10-31 13:04 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.8k |
| 10-31 12:57 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 12:52 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.4k |
| 10-31 12:33 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.109 | $219.98 |
| 10-31 12:29 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 10-31 12:25 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.011 | $237.20 |
| 10-29 17:53 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $4.4k |
| 10-29 17:53 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $16.5k |
| 10-27 23:59 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.1k |
| 10-27 22:42 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.68 | $9.7k |
| 10-27 20:29 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.18 | $900.00 |
| 10-26 23:56 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.896 | $89.60 |