vale.glez
0x70fcf41f592c6f1ee8fc0fd45e9bf609fcc288c1
- Realised P&L
- $-72.49
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 548
- Open portfolio
- $123.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded548
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.16at 0.320Canada recession before 2027?
- +$18.45at 0.625US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
- +$10.77at 0.720Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$8.09at 0.110Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
- +$7.46at 0.088Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:18 | Will annual inflation be 4.2% or more in July? | BUY | 0.0021475797 | $0.87 |
| 08-02 20:18 | Will annual inflation be 4.1% in July? | BUY | 0.002802078 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:17 | Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July? | BUY | 0.0032569842 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:16 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? | BUY | 0.0329999684 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:14 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:14 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:14 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:11 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:08 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:08 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:06 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0469999569 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 15:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 15:44 | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.1029999168 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 16:43 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |