parav0z
0x70dd45b7140eab9927ae82dbe37ae2a12c14dc8c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $450.9k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $30.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.6kat 0.807Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$490.01at 0.911Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
- +$196.14at 0.098Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?
- +$98.81at 0.005Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$55.55at 0.340Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:59 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $2.2k |
| 11-02 00:49 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 22:53 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 11-01 20:26 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $375.00 |
| 10-30 00:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? | SELL | 0.31 | $203.05 |
| 10-29 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7059689047 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |