PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x70b5df16befa3c9e8f4664a824a795a60ab66216

Realised P&L
$-47.21
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$45.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration93.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0760.055$29.62$11.49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2050.221$5.98+$0.42
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0380.021$3.21$2.48
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.026$3.02$2.68
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1300.065$2.85$2.85
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1020.015$0.83$4.64
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1930.000$0.00$5.57
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$5.71
ZCash Up or Down - August 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.9900.000$0.00$8.01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$14.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 21:28ZCash Up or Down - August 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.99$8.01
08-05 21:25Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?SELL0.981$5.95
07-15 11:09New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0699999943$11.09
07-15 11:07New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0699999942$11.07
07-15 11:06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.581$23.32
07-14 06:52New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0699999915$7.57
07-14 06:50Netanyahu out by July 31?SELL0.005$0.74
07-14 06:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.173$7.31
06-24 20:10Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.0130000001$3.23
06-24 16:40Weed rescheduled by December 31?SELL0.241338524$3.56
06-24 12:17Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999796$5.00
06-23 18:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.0022736842$1.08
06-23 18:43Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1929999762$5.57
06-23 16:15New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.1$11.38
06-23 14:32Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.9349999942$5.68