PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x704336A78B3F3117E42C762463867b84f7e1Ab85-1773565928194

0x704336a78b3f3117e42c762463867b84f7e1ab85

Realised P&L
$-89.77
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$4.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.045$2.05$2.95
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0410.026$0.65$0.35
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.1800.085$0.47$0.53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1120.044$0.39$0.61
Revolut IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0700.026$0.37$0.63
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2600.065$0.25$0.75
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2300.042$0.18$0.82
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1150.017$0.15$0.85
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · No0.2400.011$0.05$0.95
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? · No0.3700.000$0.00$1.00
Wizards vs. Knicks · Wizards0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$10.00
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$2.00
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? · Yes0.1630.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-30 21:06Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.999$8.32
04-27 06:50Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1669999875$10.00
04-15 08:02Will Meta acquire TikTok?SELL0.039$0.78
04-03 20:48Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
04-01 06:54Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?BUY0.08$1.00
04-01 06:53Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?BUY0.0047619048$1.00
03-31 14:02Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?BUY0.4399998064$0.94
03-31 14:01Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
03-24 07:58Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
03-24 07:55Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
03-23 13:12Will UK strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
03-22 23:39Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?BUY0.0351219515$1.00
03-22 23:35Wizards vs. KnicksBUY0.04$1.00
03-22 21:23France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?BUY0.0449999575$1.00
03-22 20:50Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0179999825$1.00