0x704336A78B3F3117E42C762463867b84f7e1Ab85-1773565928194
0x704336a78b3f3117e42c762463867b84f7e1ab85
- Realised P&L
- $-89.77
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $4.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.32at 0.120Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$6.69at 0.130Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
- +$5.65at 0.373Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$3.35at 0.230Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.250Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-30 21:06 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.32 |
| 04-27 06:50 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1669999875 | $10.00 |
| 04-15 08:02 | Will Meta acquire TikTok? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.78 |
| 04-03 20:48 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 04-01 06:54 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 06:53 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting? | BUY | 0.0047619048 | $1.00 |
| 03-31 14:02 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $0.94 |
| 03-31 14:01 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 07:58 | Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 07:55 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 13:12 | Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 03-22 23:39 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0351219515 | $1.00 |
| 03-22 23:35 | Wizards vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 03-22 21:23 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0449999575 | $1.00 |
| 03-22 20:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |