515669691
0x700f7d3891b4458b091de3ef2a214db5f649ba06
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $51.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,761
- Open portfolio
- $967.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,761
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.40at 0.298Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 4?
- +$111.44at 0.546Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 5?
- +$108.27at 0.544Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$67.99at 0.854Steelers vs. Browns
- +$49.74at 0.315Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 00:54 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.359999989 | $10.48 |
| 10-18 00:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.253 | $7.70 |
| 10-18 00:50 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.21 |
| 10-18 00:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.05 |
| 10-17 15:52 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.5624900876 | $93.34 |
| 10-17 15:51 | Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.92 | $96.11 |
| 10-17 14:45 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.3113061599 | $10.64 |
| 10-17 14:44 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.41 | $11.29 |
| 10-17 14:08 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.3595015576 | $46.16 |
| 10-17 14:06 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.3578761451 | $48.83 |
| 10-17 12:14 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7328555032 | $100.00 |
| 10-17 12:14 | Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.8953368329 | $102.34 |
| 10-17 11:05 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $45.78 |
| 10-17 10:46 | Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9657079639 | $90.00 |
| 10-17 10:41 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4339999973 | $50.00 |