PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

515669691

0x700f7d3891b4458b091de3ef2a214db5f649ba06

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$51.7k
Markets traded
1,761
Open portfolio
$967.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,761
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? · Yes0.4490.995$355.66+$195.04
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? · Yes0.9240.999$280.98+$20.98
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.4210.394$61.76−$4.24
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1790.154$56.43−$9.10
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7930.785$47.29−$0.49
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2120.212$39.92+$0.12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.6050.785$32.42+$7.42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7580.855$25.25+$2.86
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.7540.855$21.23+$2.50
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.2340.220$14.09−$0.91
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.5110.540$12.67+$0.67
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.6320.705$12.27+$1.27
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7070.730$6.20+$0.20
Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? · Yes0.7760.003$0.94−$241.76
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) · Cleveland Guardians0.2800.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 00:54Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.359999989$10.48
10-18 00:51Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.253$7.70
10-18 00:50Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.82$2.21
10-18 00:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.85$1.05
10-17 15:52Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.5624900876$93.34
10-17 15:51Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?SELL0.92$96.11
10-17 14:45Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.3113061599$10.64
10-17 14:44Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.41$11.29
10-17 14:08Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.3595015576$46.16
10-17 14:06Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?SELL0.3578761451$48.83
10-17 12:14Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?BUY0.7328555032$100.00
10-17 12:14Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?SELL0.8953368329$102.34
10-17 11:05Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.8$45.78
10-17 10:46Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?BUY0.9657079639$90.00
10-17 10:41Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.4339999973$50.00