PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

usurper55

0x6fd4e7920761623e4f2852bb60c0b59a709f4fa0

Realised P&L
$-16.7k
Volume
$256.2k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$41.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9000.984$9.8k+$841.40
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7680.775$5.8k+$49.07
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.7220.968$4.7k+$1.2k
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6680.615$3.7k$314.12
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8160.935$3.2k+$411.26
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5760.447$2.6k$742.18
Natural Disaster in 2026? · No0.7340.795$1.8k+$139.15
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8670.875$1.7k+$15.85
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.5670.445$1.6k$436.57
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.5090.475$1.5k$112.42
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7470.910$1.1k+$198.35
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.6800.795$825.40+$119.40
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.4090.455$720.66+$72.84
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.4490.456$711.37+$10.37
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5890.590$541.02+$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 05:25Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.77$2.4k
09-13 04:51Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.4563968645$38.00
09-13 04:51Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.4599573384$235.00
09-13 04:51Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.4348750489$241.00
09-13 04:50Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.4434665856$466.00
09-12 16:43Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?BUY0.59$57.67
09-12 16:43Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?BUY0.5953003739$89.84
09-11 23:25Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?BUY0.5888879314$540.00
09-11 23:25Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?BUY0.3504208502$310.00
09-11 00:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.36$205.71
09-09 21:24Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.6799999982$230.00
09-09 21:10Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.68$3.40
09-06 22:46Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.8099999642$12.00
09-03 22:45Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7822375724$1.6k
09-03 22:24Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5906696156$1.9k