usurper55
0x6fd4e7920761623e4f2852bb60c0b59a709f4fa0
- Realised P&L
- $-16.7k
- Volume
- $256.2k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $41.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.770World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
- +$1.0kat 0.433Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$837.56at 0.623Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
- +$800.99at 0.747Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$697.39at 0.746Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 05:25 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.4k |
| 09-13 04:51 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4563968645 | $38.00 |
| 09-13 04:51 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4599573384 | $235.00 |
| 09-13 04:51 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4348750489 | $241.00 |
| 09-13 04:50 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4434665856 | $466.00 |
| 09-12 16:43 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $57.67 |
| 09-12 16:43 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | BUY | 0.5953003739 | $89.84 |
| 09-11 23:25 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.5888879314 | $540.00 |
| 09-11 23:25 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.3504208502 | $310.00 |
| 09-11 00:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.36 | $205.71 |
| 09-09 21:24 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.6799999982 | $230.00 |
| 09-09 21:10 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-06 22:46 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8099999642 | $12.00 |
| 09-03 22:45 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7822375724 | $1.6k |
| 09-03 22:24 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5906696156 | $1.9k |