usurper55
0x6fd4e7920761623e4f2852bb60c0b59a709f4fa0
- Realised P&L
- $-17.9k
- Volume
- $280.7k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $19.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.584Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.3kat 0.824Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
- +$2.2kat 0.770World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
- +$2.0kat 0.671Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.3kat 0.722Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:38 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8396369053 | $557.30 |
| 11-01 12:28 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.0718517703 | $94.65 |
| 10-31 16:11 | UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7099999996 | $441.89 |
| 10-31 14:50 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.4177810033 | $550.33 |
| 10-31 00:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | BUY | 0.9614520558 | $1.0k |
| 10-31 00:00 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 10-29 01:21 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7399999994 | $841.05 |
| 10-27 10:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.926 | $778.81 |
| 10-24 16:28 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.55 | $666.00 |
| 10-23 05:02 | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $6.00 |
| 10-23 05:01 | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5899999999 | $1.6k |
| 10-20 05:28 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.9226576409 | $2.7k |
| 10-05 03:22 | Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination? | BUY | 0.7942133252 | $177.41 |
| 10-05 03:17 | Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? | BUY | 0.8941516074 | $1.9k |
| 09-30 22:31 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | SELL | 0.0014517262 | $0.22 |