michaelSlasher
0x6fa1383aa839e0d87d2a43814f089749b6831f74
- Realised P&L
- $15.4k
- Volume
- $756.6k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.1kat 0.322Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
- +$6.0kat 0.471Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
- +$3.3kat 0.735MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.838MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?
- +$982.26at 0.745Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.44 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 09:20 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.75 | $450.00 |
| 09-15 17:27 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $29.20 |
| 09-15 17:27 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 09-15 14:39 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 09-15 14:13 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 09-15 11:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.2k |
| 09-14 20:54 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $11.55 |
| 09-14 12:34 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 8-14? | SELL | 0.0011935484 | $0.04 |
| 09-14 12:34 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 8-14? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 14:40 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $740.00 |
| 09-13 14:35 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $370.00 |
| 09-04 11:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $504.00 |
| 09-04 08:43 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.6k |
| 09-04 07:44 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $126.28 |