HONESTHIPPO
0x6ea74119a27ce522559f42743a8753343435d0d3
- Realised P&L
- $-38.27
- Volume
- $22.3k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.82at 0.485Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
- +$58.65at 0.830Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
- +$49.25at 0.802Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$36.50at 0.500Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$35.45at 0.220Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:50 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 16:49 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $109.57 |
| 10-30 15:40 | Closer Senate Race: Kansas or Nebraska? | SELL | 0.4386411752 | $20.30 |
| 10-30 14:16 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 14:16 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.2826510696 | $30.00 |
| 10-30 14:14 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 14:14 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 14:14 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.2354480028 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 14:13 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.1769252257 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 14:13 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 14:11 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 14:08 | Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.4550067528 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 14:05 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.4049028154 | $49.33 |
| 10-30 14:05 | Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | SELL | 0.4 | $41.97 |
| 10-30 14:02 | StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.983 | $25.86 |