Adarok17
0x6e89b496e1f6546844842e3f1ecb380333025f8a
- Realised P&L
- $-256.44
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $38.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.65at 0.621Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$15.00at 0.150Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
- +$14.86at 0.168Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$14.23at 0.260Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
- +$13.51at 0.270Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 09:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 09:07 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 09:04 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 09:03 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 09:03 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 09:02 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 09:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 08:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 08:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6046788211 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 08:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $68.00 |
| 09-12 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4024105357 | $25.00 |
| 06-29 09:59 | Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |