PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Adarok17

0x6e89b496e1f6546844842e3f1ecb380333025f8a

Realised P&L
$-256.44
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$38.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1600.125$11.72$3.28
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.3400.450$6.62+$1.62
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7500.675$4.50$0.50
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.055$3.93$11.07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1790.037$3.14$11.90
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.6200.190$3.06$6.94
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2100.125$2.98$2.02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1400.038$1.37$3.63
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.2000.065$0.97$2.02
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2800.008$0.57$19.43
Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.00
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 11? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 09:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.0599999995$5.00
09-12 09:07Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.339999985$5.00
09-12 09:04Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.75$5.00
09-12 09:03Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
09-12 09:03Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
09-12 09:02Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.4199999496$3.00
09-12 09:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-12 08:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.16$15.00
09-12 08:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.6046788211$25.00
09-12 08:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSELL0.37$68.00
09-12 08:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.4099999984$25.00
09-12 08:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.4099999984$25.00
09-12 08:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.4099999984$25.00
09-12 08:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.4024105357$25.00
06-29 09:59Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?BUY0.001$1.00