PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Esp14

0x6e63f0cbb067d5b7c238c84d3760f78d58ff4dd4

Realised P&L
$-190.03
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? · No0.9400.984$523.40+$23.40
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.755$368.69$56.31
Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? · No0.9680.994$205.37+$5.37
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.850$202.35+$2.35
Spain snap election called in 2026? · No0.7960.800$100.49+$0.49
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · No0.5400.540$90.08+$0.09
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · No0.8000.675$71.25$13.19
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5850.548$37.51$2.50
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · Yes0.6020.335$27.82$22.18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3500.305$21.79$3.21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0890.065$19.68$7.32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2100.175$16.67$3.33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1600.080$12.67$12.83
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0750.183$12.14+$7.14
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? · Yes0.0600.080$6.67+$1.67

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:22Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.6849999925$15.00
09-17 20:22Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.079$12.59
09-16 08:03Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
09-15 09:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1099999987$5.00
09-15 09:53Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.7399999953$25.00
09-14 20:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.2201632653$67.42
09-13 17:00Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.46$31.45
09-12 06:31Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?BUY0.16$2.00
09-09 21:02Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0573592951$1.00
09-09 20:59Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0071781712$1.00
09-09 13:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2099999983$20.00
09-09 12:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.08$2.00
09-09 05:51Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.6$15.00
09-08 19:242026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3499999972$25.00
09-08 17:30Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.5849999989$80.00