0x6e20bf0921e17fbb3df2656b31e1ff409ef387f4
0x6e20bf0921e17fbb3df2656b31e1ff409ef387f4
- Realised P&L
- $4.74
- Volume
- $175.43
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $5.79
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.750 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.345 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.750 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.620 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.455 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.055 | $0.15 | −$0.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.95at 0.259Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.53at 0.289Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
- +$2.31at 0.308SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:06 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 18:05 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 10:01 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:12 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:36 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:02 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:27 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:11 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:51 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:39 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:29 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 23:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |