0x6e1bA9faD9B90944797621077CE3b1DA28998833-1776999871842
0x6e1ba9fad9b90944797621077ce3b1da28998833
- Realised P&L
- $-131.82
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $87.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.03at 0.543Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 24?
- +$7.69at 0.725Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$7.05at 0.590S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?
- +$5.46at 0.110Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
- +$2.78at 0.878Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 05:11 | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? | BUY | 0.6299999915 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 05:07 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8099999957 | $30.00 |
| 05-26 15:16 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.242999993 | $20.00 |
| 05-26 15:14 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.1759163916 | $15.99 |
| 05-07 16:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 15:13 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999931 | $20.00 |
| 05-07 15:07 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.8779999947 | $20.00 |
| 05-07 15:04 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 05-07 15:02 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.00 |
| 05-07 15:00 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 05-07 14:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 05-07 14:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 05-07 14:10 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.7599999483 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 14:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 14:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.21 |