PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6e1bA9faD9B90944797621077CE3b1DA28998833-1776999871842

0x6e1ba9fad9b90944797621077ce3b1da28998833

Realised P&L
$-131.82
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$87.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8100.958$23.64+$3.64
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6000.705$23.50+$3.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8300.925$22.29+$2.29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2430.152$12.55$7.45
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? · Yes0.4500.135$6.00$14.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 25? · Yes0.3230.000$0.00$21.41
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7? · Up0.4950.000$0.00$30.00
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 24? · Down0.5230.000$0.00$66.47
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00$10.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$20.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$10.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? · No0.6300.000$0.00$20.00
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$74.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 05:11Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?BUY0.6299999915$20.00
07-08 05:07Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.8099999957$30.00
05-26 15:16Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.242999993$20.00
05-26 15:14Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.1759163916$15.99
05-07 16:08S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?BUY0.359999987$10.00
05-07 15:13Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8099999931$20.00
05-07 15:07Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?BUY0.8779999947$20.00
05-07 15:04Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.599999994$20.00
05-07 15:02Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.92$20.00
05-07 15:00Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?BUY0.4499999921$20.00
05-07 14:152026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.8299999975$20.00
05-07 14:13S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?BUY0.6099999927$20.00
05-07 14:10Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.7599999483$10.00
05-07 14:07US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.409999991$10.00
05-07 14:06S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?SELL0.999$17.21