PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

4751346

0x6dd6314d1670f9f1ccccbd6746b0bf2f2fa0f5f4

Realised P&L
$188.4k
Volume
$11.43M
Markets traded
2,338
Open portfolio
$127.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,338
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.8690.925$30.5k+$1.9k
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9090.974$13.2k+$871.07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9090.935$10.1k+$283.90
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · No0.8770.935$9.4k+$584.70
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.8830.964$7.2k+$599.59
SBF released from custody in 2026? · No0.8910.976$3.9k+$336.85
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9330.945$3.9k+$49.17
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8500.865$3.8k+$66.31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8040.835$3.2k+$117.24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8660.885$2.7k+$59.79
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8910.945$2.7k+$154.08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8790.925$2.5k+$125.23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5850.585$2.2k$1.11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4660.512$2.1k+$185.33
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.875$1.8k+$73.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:14Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$930.00
09-17 01:13Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$372.00
09-16 12:49Will Solana reach $150 in September?BUY0.973334$486.67
09-16 03:50Will Solana reach $150 in September?BUY0.971$291.30
09-16 01:05Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?SELL0.9$18.00
09-16 01:05Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?SELL0.9$18.00
09-16 00:53Will Mayton Perea win by KO or TKO?BUY0.99$20.00
09-16 00:50Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.91$64.99
09-16 00:50Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.9$9.00
09-16 00:50Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.9$72.00
09-15 22:10Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.924$45.18
09-15 20:10Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.88$91.26
09-15 19:05Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.9100020004$90.98
09-15 13:04Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.96$5.65
09-15 13:03Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.9166666667$137.50