PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

4751346

0x6dd6314d1670f9f1ccccbd6746b0bf2f2fa0f5f4

Realised P&L
$169.9k
Volume
$12.23M
Markets traded
2,500
Open portfolio
$124.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,500
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.9031.000$23.7k+$2.3k
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9090.981$12.3k+$904.14
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9130.945$9.3k+$311.32
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · No0.8770.975$8.9k+$888.60
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9090.955$7.6k+$366.80
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9390.971$4.7k+$154.88
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4570.403$4.2k−$574.66
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8570.915$3.4k+$216.39
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6910.715$2.6k+$89.44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8070.825$2.6k+$55.90
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8910.967$2.5k+$194.53
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8890.955$2.3k+$159.68
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · No0.8610.920$2.1k+$137.88
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7990.745$2.1k−$155.91
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9730.970$1.9k−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:53Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?SELL0.33$4.08
11-01 21:51Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.7133333333$214.00
11-01 05:31UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.36$4.90
11-01 02:43UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.8105697323$1.5k
11-01 02:43UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.77$50.00
11-01 02:41UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.67$9.38
11-01 02:41UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.65918$329.59
11-01 02:40UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.47$470.00
11-01 02:37UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.49$245.00
11-01 02:31UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)SELL0.3022545$60.45
11-01 02:00UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.79224$198.06
11-01 01:56UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.69$345.00
11-01 01:56UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.7025404$351.27
11-01 01:56UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.6851015$137.02
11-01 01:37UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.11$110.00