green9
0x6d7974bd5d6454b515eaccee05827f8ad838ae69
- Realised P&L
- $8.7k
- Volume
- $278.9k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $19.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.3kat 0.225Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$2.3kat 0.740Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.7kat 0.886Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$1.2kat 0.230Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
- +$1.1kat 0.634Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:01 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $257.60 |
| 09-16 03:03 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.37 | $13.95 |
| 09-09 01:31 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.4k |
| 08-27 04:29 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $28.33 |
| 08-27 04:14 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $26.27 |
| 08-21 01:52 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.79 | $237.00 |
| 08-19 15:44 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.67 | $134.00 |
| 08-19 02:35 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.035 | $6.52 |
| 08-13 03:53 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.76 | $608.00 |
| 08-07 02:24 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $820.00 |
| 08-06 00:53 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.9754780833 | $117.06 |
| 08-03 22:34 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $96.00 |
| 08-02 16:11 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.87 | $10.51 |
| 07-24 18:45 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.034 | $153.00 |
| 07-17 01:29 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $340.00 |