0x6ce66EcFBd1989133c21FdF6Ba47C7bfd39e60e3-1720909268651
0x6ce66ecfbd1989133c21fdf6ba47c7bfd39e60e3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $72.4k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $481.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.135 | $241.25 | −$973.91 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.065 | $90.12 | −$159.44 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 1.000 | $73.65 | +$48.61 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.211 | 0.221 | $66.15 | +$2.85 |
| Over $200M committed to the Printr public sale? · No | 0.950 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$0.50 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.78 |
| Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes | 0.566 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.19 |
| Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes | 0.731 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$329.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$480.00at 0.200Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$149.11at 0.279Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?
- +$36.61at 0.650Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
- +$8.06at 0.870Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
- +$5.18at 0.860Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 09:20 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.211 | $63.30 |
| 05-17 12:25 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $245.96 |
| 05-08 18:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $25.04 |
| 04-30 00:39 | Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.599 | $11.32 |
| 04-29 23:46 | Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.558 | $43.37 |
| 04-28 13:47 | Over $200M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 04-20 13:17 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.38 | $49.78 |
| 03-19 23:24 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.2k |
| 01-08 22:33 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday? | BUY | 0.0477474585 | $100.00 |
| 01-08 22:33 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday? | BUY | 0.0473576783 | $100.00 |
| 12-02 10:30 | XRP Up or Down - December 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 12-02 10:27 | Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | BUY | 0.65 | $68.00 |
| 12-02 10:26 | Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | BUY | 0.87 | $53.94 |
| 12-02 10:25 | Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.80 |
| 12-02 10:21 | Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale? | BUY | 0.002 | $111.60 |