PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Brap-Brap

0x6cdf7d0067868b63614e6f4857fd915dc9385bc1

Realised P&L
$-6.0k
Volume
$6.52M
Markets traded
2,215
Open portfolio
$131.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,215
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1400.556$27.19+$20.34
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026? · No0.8700.885$23.88+$0.40
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · No0.9650.992$21.36+$0.57
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0440.199$19.85+$15.45
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? · Yes0.2100.120$11.18−$8.39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.4500.969$9.97+$5.34
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? · Yes0.3700.565$7.06+$2.44
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · No0.4100.232$4.64−$3.56
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · Yes0.5710.768$3.66+$0.94
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.3900.350$1.11−$0.13
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.6600.060$0.52−$5.25
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.3900.075$0.27−$1.14
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2020.096$0.26−$0.29
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.001$0.08−$0.71
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0340.002$0.07−$1.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 10:19Will Luis Gilberto Murillo place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.998$11.14
04-28 05:21Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?BUY0.99$12.39
04-27 20:39Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.997$23.04
04-27 06:30Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.98$18.78
04-26 18:07Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.999$25.75
04-26 12:12Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.95$19.24
04-25 15:47Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?BUY0.1541979745$1.65
04-25 15:43Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?BUY0.14999994$1.86
04-25 13:02Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.9869999996$28.56
04-25 06:56Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?BUY0.15$1.68
04-25 06:52Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?BUY0.1499999409$2.03
04-25 04:00Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.9829999999$26.54
04-23 19:58Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.998$15.08
04-23 13:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 25?BUY0.9789999991$19.62
04-23 09:24Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 23?BUY0.9966602033$29.82