MartinMwa
0x6cdf13cc2ccc3f7c08e28fad7ca8b8ec05f612d4
- Realised P&L
- $213.44
- Volume
- $32.7k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $68.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$519.98at 0.480Pistons vs. Heat
- +$168.00at 0.720Nuggets vs. Thunder
- +$126.00at 0.580Knicks vs. Raptors
- +$2.85at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?
- +$1.00at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 00:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-04 12:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $830.00 |
| 07-04 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4? | SELL | 0.66 | $4.01 |
| 07-04 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4? | SELL | 0.6 | $9.00 |
| 07-04 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4? | SELL | 0.2468918919 | $2.19 |
| 07-04 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4? | SELL | 0.4706666667 | $70.60 |
| 07-04 09:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4? | SELL | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 07-04 08:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4? | SELL | 0.69 | $2.22 |
| 07-04 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4? | SELL | 0.4111731926 | $28.04 |
| 07-04 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.63 |
| 07-04 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4? | SELL | 0.3 | $9.52 |
| 07-04 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 4? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 07-04 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.37 |
| 07-04 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4? | SELL | 0.2630393025 | $56.42 |
| 07-04 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.77 | $25.41 |