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Traders

MartinMwa

0x6cdf13cc2ccc3f7c08e28fad7ca8b8ec05f612d4

Realised P&L
$213.44
Volume
$32.7k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$68.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9160.940$30.79+$0.79
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9580.975$10.17+$0.17
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9940.998$10.04+$0.04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9270.961$5.18+$0.18
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$5.10+$0.10
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9300.977$2.10+$0.10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8500.945$1.11+$0.11
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8500.915$1.08+$0.08
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9860.999$1.01+$0.01
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? · No0.9000.845$0.94$0.06
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22? · Yes0.0050.004$0.92$0.08
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00$1.00
Clippers vs. Pelicans · Clippers0.4600.000$0.00$460.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Down0.7900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 00:56Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-04 12:37Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?SELL0.998$830.00
07-04 11:59Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?SELL0.66$4.01
07-04 11:44Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4?SELL0.6$9.00
07-04 10:16Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?SELL0.2468918919$2.19
07-04 09:53Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?SELL0.4706666667$70.60
07-04 09:46Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?SELL0.68$13.60
07-04 08:56Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4?SELL0.69$2.22
07-04 08:38Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?SELL0.4111731926$28.04
07-04 08:23Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?SELL0.53$5.63
07-04 08:22Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?SELL0.3$9.52
07-04 08:14Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 4?SELL0.23$1.38
07-04 08:11Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?SELL0.46$3.37
07-04 07:59Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4?SELL0.2630393025$56.42
07-04 07:55Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4?BUY0.77$25.41