PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dev-test1

0x6c614ebe550f6cf129d565ede64cbb1b50d53872

Realised P&L
$6.75
Volume
$294.14
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$30.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7500.765$10.16+$0.20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2660.235$8.46$1.11
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes0.2000.175$8.33$1.19
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.1200.085$1.76$0.72
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1800.245$1.55+$0.41
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00$2.84
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-09-01? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00$2.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4AM ET · Up0.7400.000$0.00$4.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 10:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.81$4.86
09-05 15:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.27$5.73
09-03 10:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ETBUY0.36$1.84
09-03 10:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ETBUY0.52$2.89
09-03 09:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.37$2.63
09-03 09:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.51$2.89
09-03 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.41$2.28
09-03 08:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY0.68$3.46
09-03 02:31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.75$9.96
09-03 01:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.26$1.92
09-03 01:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.26$1.92
09-01 07:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.55$2.84
09-01 07:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.18$1.20
09-01 07:06Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-09-01?BUY0.41$2.10
09-01 06:56Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Port FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.52$2.92