dev-test1
0x6c614ebe550f6cf129d565ede64cbb1b50d53872
- Realised P&L
- $6.75
- Volume
- $294.14
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $30.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.750 | 0.765 | $10.16 | +$0.20 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.235 | $8.46 | −$1.11 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.175 | $8.33 | −$1.19 |
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.085 | $1.76 | −$0.72 |
| Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.245 | $1.55 | +$0.41 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Up | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.84 |
| Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-09-01? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.28 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4AM ET · Up | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.96at 0.120Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$5.56at 0.104Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$2.68at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$2.62at 0.532Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Port FC: O/U 3.5
- +$1.55at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 10:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $4.86 |
| 09-05 15:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.73 |
| 09-03 10:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $1.84 |
| 09-03 10:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.89 |
| 09-03 09:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $2.63 |
| 09-03 09:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.89 |
| 09-03 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $2.28 |
| 09-03 08:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $3.46 |
| 09-03 02:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.96 |
| 09-03 01:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.92 |
| 09-03 01:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.92 |
| 09-01 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $2.84 |
| 09-01 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $1.20 |
| 09-01 07:06 | Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-09-01? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.10 |
| 09-01 06:56 | Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Port FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $2.92 |