0x6C46D479682013c5c1f983A10EF84dC7037787a0-1767496740181
0x6c46d479682013c5c1f983a10ef84dc7037787a0
- Realised P&L
- $-392.51
- Volume
- $54.6k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $225.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$607.75at 0.175Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$229.42at 0.218Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$129.70at 0.306Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$93.72at 0.767Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
- +$56.11at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:25 | Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | SELL | 0.225 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 17:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.009 | $15.69 |
| 09-11 15:20 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 15:07 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 14:40 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 14:23 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1908396947 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 14:23 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.233261323 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 14:22 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 18:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 17:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 17:49 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 17:48 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 17:47 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 17:46 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 17:46 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |