0x6B19358Bb5aa9CD90aD7F80e364cecF369a2a2F2-1781114413638
0x6b19358bb5aa9cd90ad7f80e364cecf369a2a2f2
- Realised P&L
- $-56.72
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $139.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.46at 0.488EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?
- +$21.26at 0.826Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$19.20at 0.808Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$17.57at 0.852Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$16.44at 0.827Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 20:54 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 03:38 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $49.70 |
| 09-25 03:37 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 09-25 02:45 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? | BUY | 0.494775911 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 18:50 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 10:50 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 06:50 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 16:50 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 08:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 06:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 20:15 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 18:15 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 16:47 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999953 | $17.91 |
| 09-19 08:25 | Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |