PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vengo

0x6b170a8b01147798bee19aa26c3742345158ba2e

Realised P&L
$-10.3k
Volume
$888.70
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$5.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1158.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration85.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? · No0.0810.229$1.5k+$997.29
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? · No0.6580.735$436.80+$45.69
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8410.905$417.20+$29.67
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.9110.925$398.21+$6.06
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · No0.5530.395$353.19$141.25
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? · No0.2470.720$285.12+$187.44
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? · No0.3780.240$251.43$144.37
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? · Yes0.5530.555$175.71+$0.52
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.1140.054$170.36$188.17
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5300.300$164.96$126.40
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? · No0.1640.120$162.08$59.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5400.795$159.00+$51.00
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? · No0.5410.595$99.53+$8.95
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? · Yes0.1200.145$87.14+$15.03
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4970.380$68.40$21.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-30 02:33Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?SELL0.2$20.00
04-30 02:24Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?SELL0.2$20.00
04-30 02:23Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?SELL0.201$2.67
04-30 02:13Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?SELL0.21$8.22
04-30 02:12Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?SELL0.2$20.00
04-30 02:11Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?SELL0.261$3.48
04-30 02:10Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?SELL0.262$1.74
04-30 02:09Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?SELL0.263$15.32
04-30 02:07Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?SELL0.264$4.66
02-13 00:49Starmer out by March 31, 2026?SELL0.84$1.95