0x6b0574123291800653ce1fc343b82fccc8f6c3f2
0x6b0574123291800653ce1fc343b82fccc8f6c3f2
- Realised P&L
- $8.12
- Volume
- $316.28
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $6.25
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.855 | $2.35 | +$0.15 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.870 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.355 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.640 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.385 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.055 | $0.34 | −$1.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.88at 0.278Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$4.41at 0.339WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$3.85at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$3.75at 0.370US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.69at 0.379Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of August 10 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:12 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 10:01 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:21 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:14 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 14:24 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:23 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:21 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:47 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:13 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:13 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 16:06 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 17:16 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 08:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 23:13 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |