PolyBot

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Traders

VOrban

0x6ae4160c7507f4e9634144178dcf4e4c36d7d4ce

Realised P&L
$-6.8k
Volume
$642.4k
Markets traded
419
Open portfolio
$8.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded419
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7830.835$6.5k+$405.90
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1220.080$461.89$246.56
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.7720.766$428.47$3.18
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0480.064$250.83+$60.54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0760.045$196.35$136.48
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2380.165$195.80$86.64
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1020.105$181.41+$5.38
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.6900.945$169.70+$45.79
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.009$139.75+$8.23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1560.065$134.87$189.44
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · No0.2000.165$61.00$12.94
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0280.034$55.44+$8.81
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9510.955$49.93+$0.19
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0190.024$30.84+$5.14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.145$18.64$0.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:47Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.1630735796$5.25
09-17 18:24Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9508298667$17.83
09-17 18:24Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.951$17.83
09-17 16:44No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.762$55.62
09-17 15:07Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$75.00
09-17 10:00Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.3$21.16
09-17 09:59Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.31$21.87
09-17 09:50No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.782$19.55
09-17 09:50No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.782$39.10
09-15 20:51Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.06$48.74
09-15 20:51Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.06$150.00
09-15 16:33US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.86$16.68
09-15 16:33OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.947$7.50
09-15 16:33Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?SELL0.6$20.26
09-15 16:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.82$22.24