Tradman
0x6ac7062e35ee83c752899225ccea45406c03aabb
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $618.7k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $13.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.996Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$2.9kat 0.598Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$2.2kat 0.711Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?
- +$1.9kat 0.700Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.5kat 0.890Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 00:15 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.5k |
| 10-04 23:40 | Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.86 | $327.22 |
| 10-04 23:37 | Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.8499460606 | $280.48 |
| 10-04 21:17 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.935 | $561.00 |
| 06-20 18:05 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.89 | $2.3k |
| 06-09 04:31 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7721203875 | $3.0k |
| 05-31 19:50 | Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 05-29 23:32 | Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.92 | $118.23 |
| 05-29 20:42 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.06 | $964.88 |
| 05-29 01:25 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2166620703 | $1.1k |
| 05-29 01:25 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2226011964 | $279.09 |
| 05-29 01:24 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.252429977 | $2.5k |
| 05-28 21:13 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2410310385 | $62.67 |
| 05-28 21:12 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.26 | $67.60 |
| 05-28 16:26 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $149.25 |