crazyyugo
0x6a1faf27e805142c2f694f4a463d47e4bc671a60
- Realised P&L
- $-87.26
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $69.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.41at 0.290US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$49.50at 0.020Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$28.33at 0.150US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$22.10at 0.521Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?
- +$8.52at 0.540Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 1)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 08:34 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3039999985 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 08:33 | Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 13:12 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.00 |
| 06-09 13:12 | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0109999945 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 13:12 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 13:11 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999963 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 13:11 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0229999954 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 13:11 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0839999916 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 10:17 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.4699999542 | $4.00 |
| 06-07 21:52 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.220999995 | $25.00 |
| 05-28 08:12 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY | 0.1523809524 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 08:10 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 08:09 | JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 08:08 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0379999965 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 08:08 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |