PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

crazyyugo

0x6a1faf27e805142c2f694f4a463d47e4bc671a60

Realised P&L
$-87.26
Volume
$9.4k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$69.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.3040.488$32.14+$12.14
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4160.395$9.49$0.51
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes0.1700.145$8.53$1.47
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2900.065$4.48$15.52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0730.029$3.23$4.77
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2460.135$2.75$2.25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0830.185$2.23+$1.23
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0600.023$1.92$3.08
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1500.265$1.77+$0.77
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3400.085$0.75$2.25
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0700.050$0.71$0.29
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0800.029$0.71$1.29
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · Yes0.1000.045$0.45$0.55
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1910.085$0.45$0.55
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1150.012$0.10$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 08:34Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.3039999985$20.00
09-14 08:33Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.1699999983$10.00
06-09 13:12Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.02$3.00
06-09 13:12Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0109999945$2.00
06-09 13:12Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011999988$1.00
06-09 13:11Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0189999963$5.00
06-09 13:11Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0229999954$5.00
06-09 13:11Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0839999916$10.00
06-09 10:17Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.4699999542$4.00
06-07 21:52Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.220999995$25.00
05-28 08:12Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?BUY0.1523809524$2.00
05-28 08:10Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
05-28 08:09JD Vance out as VP by December 31?BUY0.1$1.00
05-28 08:08Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0379999965$10.00
05-28 08:08Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999965$5.00