PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x6a0ce9eda94430b60a15565380a1f0c5a662381b

0x6a0ce9eda94430b60a15565380a1f0c5a662381b

Realised P&L
$-70.24
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$7.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7900.760$4.85−$0.19
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? · Yes0.7260.860$1.18+$0.18
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · No0.7000.725$1.04+$0.04
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22? · Up0.2500.130$0.52−$0.48
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · No0.2100.036$0.22−$1.04
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2200.025$0.15−$1.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 03:03S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?BUY0.25$1.00
10-21 06:55S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-21 06:55Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-17 08:52Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-17 00:50Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-16 14:02Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.7829999577$1.00
10-16 02:02Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-15 18:02Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?BUY0.251999998$1.00
10-15 09:49Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?BUY0.726079118$1.00
10-15 01:34Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-14 17:34Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-10 07:06Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-09 23:05Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-09 15:01Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-08 19:01Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.4599997976$1.00