0x6a0ce9eda94430b60a15565380a1f0c5a662381b
0x6a0ce9eda94430b60a15565380a1f0c5a662381b
- Realised P&L
- $-70.24
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $7.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.790 | 0.760 | $4.85 | −$0.19 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? · Yes | 0.726 | 0.860 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.725 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22? · Up | 0.250 | 0.130 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · No | 0.210 | 0.036 | $0.22 | −$1.04 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.025 | $0.15 | −$1.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.90at 0.268Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$10.99at 0.359SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$9.20at 0.402Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$7.78at 0.442Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
- +$6.61at 0.482Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 03:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 06:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 06:55 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 08:52 | Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 00:50 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 14:02 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.7829999577 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 02:02 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:02 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.251999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:49 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | BUY | 0.726079118 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 01:34 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:34 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 07:06 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 23:05 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:01 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:01 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |