0x69D3a77437f2EF6e6563d8797E0928FB93b233E2-1775508597910
0x69d3a77437f2ef6e6563d8797e0928fb93b233e2
- Realised P&L
- $-153.06
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $16.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.91at 0.876Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$15.23at 0.502England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?
- +$8.24at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?
- +$6.33at 0.437Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$5.71at 0.310Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 18:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.80 |
| 09-10 16:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.88 |
| 09-10 15:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.985 | $1.97 |
| 09-08 19:18 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.86 |
| 09-01 05:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999802 | $1.86 |
| 09-01 05:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.8999995549 | $1.82 |
| 08-16 05:01 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22? | BUY | 0.7899995803 | $1.60 |
| 08-15 05:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199995159 | $1.66 |
| 08-15 05:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.82 |
| 08-11 05:01 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.7599999408 | $1.54 |
| 08-11 05:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.74 |
| 08-10 05:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699996589 | $1.76 |
| 08-10 05:01 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.9199999802 | $1.86 |
| 08-03 05:35 | Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.56 |
| 08-03 05:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999786 | $4.92 |