piyasayapici
0x69cd073d80d640b10818b0513e7237ac8688d48d
- Realised P&L
- $-267.65
- Volume
- $164.6k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.027Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- +$1.3kat 0.080Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.070Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$1.2kat 0.130US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$931.37at 0.060Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 00:08 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $22.75 |
| 10-31 22:56 | Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.55 |
| 10-30 01:10 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.68 |
| 10-29 21:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $204.39 |
| 10-29 21:03 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.66 |
| 10-29 21:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $32.14 |
| 10-29 20:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $238.39 |
| 10-29 19:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $223.12 |
| 10-29 19:03 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | SELL | 0.83 | $269.15 |
| 10-28 14:15 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $210.61 |
| 10-28 03:40 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.65 |
| 10-27 20:22 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.81 |
| 10-26 14:59 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0359999998 | $7.60 |
| 10-26 14:49 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.045770416 | $16.04 |
| 10-26 14:39 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.046 | $1.38 |