PolyBot

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Traders

piyasayapici

0x69cd073d80d640b10818b0513e7237ac8688d48d

Realised P&L
$-458.94
Volume
$56.6k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$668.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · No0.7550.690$213.80$20.14
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1800.145$108.67$26.23
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? · Yes0.9200.872$72.86$4.05
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · Yes0.2100.165$68.36$18.64
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.1300.135$53.02+$1.96
Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yes0.0600.055$35.06$3.19
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0700.045$23.36$12.98
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? · No0.0800.075$22.70$1.51
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.0680.042$22.64$14.46
Iran leadership change by November 30? · Yes0.1000.085$19.52$3.44
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2000.045$17.22$59.31
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0900.016$10.54$48.76
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1520.162$0.17+$0.01
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1400.125$0.15$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 20:34Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?SELL0.065$2.74
09-09 09:55Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.06$39.66
09-05 08:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4AM ETSELL0.27$2.70
09-05 08:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4AM ETBUY0.24$1.20
09-01 12:58US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.85$61.77
08-30 15:13Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$1.40
08-30 15:12Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.60
08-22 09:17Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.731999996$15.48
08-22 07:39Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.735$12.98
08-20 16:09Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1519999946$23.52
08-20 06:58Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.152$0.77
08-20 05:35Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.152$45.60
08-16 20:15Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.19$19.00
08-16 20:12Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.19$19.00
08-16 03:13Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$221.40