piyasayapici
0x69cd073d80d640b10818b0513e7237ac8688d48d
- Realised P&L
- $-458.94
- Volume
- $56.6k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $668.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$754.81at 0.135Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
- +$732.15at 0.425Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov
- +$578.09at 0.074Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- +$423.57at 0.153Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- +$409.00at 0.200US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 20:34 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SELL | 0.065 | $2.74 |
| 09-09 09:55 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $39.66 |
| 09-05 08:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4AM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 09-05 08:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-01 12:58 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $61.77 |
| 08-30 15:13 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-30 15:12 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-22 09:17 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.731999996 | $15.48 |
| 08-22 07:39 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.735 | $12.98 |
| 08-20 16:09 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1519999946 | $23.52 |
| 08-20 06:58 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.152 | $0.77 |
| 08-20 05:35 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.152 | $45.60 |
| 08-16 20:15 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 08-16 20:12 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 08-16 03:13 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $221.40 |